Q&A: Opening of Armenia -Turkey border or Improving the domestic economic and political environment
| Dialogue |
In our previous poll, we asked which would be of greater benefit to Armenia's economy , opening of Armenia -Turkey border or Improving the domestic economic and political environment . Before proceeding to discussion of the poll results, a little bit about the poll itself. One of the respondents asked whether the choices contradict each another, or if it is not possible to implement both simultaneously.
Certainly it is possible and even desirable. The question however was really the following: which of these two measures is more tangible, visible and in the long-run will have a positive influence on the economy of Armenia. In other words, what is the most direct way of solving economic problems: opening the Armenia-Turkey border by all means or directing our efforts to finding solutions to the internal systemic problems.
The majority of our respondents, 88 percent, think that domestic reforms will have a better influence on the economy. Fourteen percent think that opening the border is a higher priority.
Without disputing the necessity of the open border, we agree with the majority of our respondents that opening the border can not have a magical influence on the economy when and especially while the domestic economic and political systemic problems are not yet solved.
When we talk about the problems we mean the low level of the diversification of the economy and the existence of monopolies and the lack of economic competitiveness and a number of other entrenched obstacles. After all, today we have two open borders, but the economic issues of the country are not resolved. In fact, even with closed borders, foreign trade turnover between Armenia and Turkey last year was 4.7 percent of the total foreign trade turnover, which is more than the trade with Georgia and Iran where with open borders, they amount to 2.4 percent and 4.3 percent respectively.
Needless to say, our trade balance with Turkey is negative; indeed the ratio is 98.5 to 1.5 percent. That is, nearly the entire trade activity is in the form of imports by Armenia. Even with the open border doubling or tripling the trade turnover between our countries, it is obvious that the volume of exports will remain low. No doubt, that the open border has a certain transit potential for some goods which will in the long-run create some economic opportunities, but the economic miracles and long-run solutions should be sought not in or across the borders but at home.





